Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.114103 0.134204 0.156673 0.183634 0.215093 0.250626 0.293798
2025-11-16 0.083582 0.109274 0.141017 0.183052 0.237194 0.304527 0.394584
2025-11-23 0.064493 0.091301 0.127005 0.177898 0.248445 0.342654 0.477906
2025-11-30 0.054425 0.082245 0.121643 0.181279 0.269031 0.393167 0.581866
2025-12-07 0.046171 0.073869 0.115253 0.181255 0.283536 0.435614 0.678473
2025-12-14 0.038845 0.065445 0.107159 0.176901 0.290129 0.466175 0.759996
2025-12-21 0.033797 0.059693 0.102138 0.176212 0.301668 0.504779 0.857566
2025-12-28 0.030925 0.057040 0.101607 0.182499 0.324885 0.564047 0.994780
2026-01-04 0.028763 0.055243 0.102170 0.190514 0.351686 0.631801 1.153498
2026-01-11 0.026394 0.052686 0.100982 0.195114 0.372778 0.691687 1.304762
2026-01-18 0.023764 0.049230 0.097655 0.195234 0.385498 0.737739 1.435710
2026-01-25 0.020747 0.044570 0.091418 0.188937 0.385193 0.759581 1.523527
2026-02-01 0.017646 0.039433 0.083873 0.179694 0.379250 0.772459 1.600615
2026-02-08 0.015805 0.036694 0.080834 0.179293 0.391213 0.821977 1.757205
2026-02-15 0.013817 0.033306 0.075941 0.174260 0.392816 0.850775 1.874941
2026-02-22 0.012755 0.031843 0.074975 0.177576 0.412600 0.919162 2.083598
2026-03-01 0.011575 0.029912 0.072679 0.177553 0.424930 0.973002 2.267052
2026-03-08 0.010265 0.027447 0.068798 0.173286 0.426982 1.004492 2.404425
2026-03-15 0.009330 0.025776 0.066560 0.172611 0.437298 1.055570 2.592312
2026-03-22 0.008867 0.025261 0.067078 0.178772 0.464829 1.149319 2.890870
2026-03-29 0.008521 0.025005 0.068208 0.186628 0.497523 1.258866 3.239865
2026-04-05 0.008038 0.024293 0.068059 0.191137 0.522296 1.352030 3.559322
2026-04-12 0.007408 0.023059 0.066350 0.191255 0.535667 1.418518 3.819474